From the perspective of the endogenous evolutionary path of China's economic growth and externally available resource constraints, achieving low energy consumption and low carbon growth is an unavoidable strategic choice. However, in a realistic way, for a long time to come, traditional fossil fuels such as oil and coal will continue to shoulder the role of China's major energy sources, and new energy sources will only play a complementary role. Therefore, limiting the high-energy-consuming and high-pollution projects and improving the energy efficiency of enterprises are more likely to achieve results.
Since July, European and American media, including the Financial Times and the Wall Street Journal of the United States, have cited the latest statistics of the International Energy Agency (IEA), and they have superseded China and replaced the United States as the “world’s number one energy consumerâ€. A topic. Coincidentally, the latest energy report published by British Petroleum (BP) and French energy statistics company (Enerdata) also claimed that China has become the world's largest energy consumer, but the specific data is slightly different from the IEA.
China’s energy authority quickly refuted this and believed that the IEA data overestimated China’s actual energy consumption. The reason is that according to the statistical bulletin issued by the National Bureau of Statistics in February this year, China’s total energy consumption last year was 3.10 billion tons of standard coal, which translates into approximately 2.132 billion tons of oil equivalent, which is slightly lower than the U.S. announced U.S. Energy consumption.
From the above series of tit-for-tat research reports, it is not difficult to see that: First, even different Western energy organizations have differences in the amount of energy consumed between China and the United States. Second, both China and the West are There is no connection between the caliber of energy statistics or the unit of calculation. Third, both the Western research and the Chinese research have actually admitted that the current energy consumption in China and the United States is relatively close.
Of course, the topic of IEA and the US and Europe trying to hype "the first energy consumer country" has different considerations.
From the perspective of IEA, with the rise of China’s economy, China has emerged as a major energy consumer and importer in the world. Therefore, drawing on China to join this energy consumer organization has been the goal of the organization’s efforts in recent years. But the problem is that for many years, the IEA has not been able to persuade China: After joining a club of energy-consuming countries led by developed countries, after releasing key data including crude oil reserves, energy structure, energy storage and production, China can get What kind of benefits? Therefore, China is more willing to maintain a moderate distance and equal cooperation with the IEA and is not in a hurry to join. This IEA throw this controversial statistical report, to a large extent, is implying that China: as soon as possible to join the IEA, the transparency of China's energy data, in order to avoid being outsiders casually announced the inaccurate data.
From the perspective of the United States, pushing China to the "first energy consumer country" can transfer contradictions and greatly reduce its pressure. For a long time, China, India, and other emerging powers have consistently advocated to assume “common but differentiated responsibilities†on emission reduction issues, while developed countries should assume more emission reduction obligations while protecting the rights of developing countries and developing countries. . Among major developed countries, Europe and Japan have made emission reduction commitments earlier, and the pressure actually falls on the United States.
From the perspective of Europe, whether it is the United States or China, as long as the world’s two largest energy consumers have made waves, climate change will become the focus of global attention at the Cancun meeting at the end of this year. While China or the United States may be under greater public pressure, there may be greater concessions.
So, for China, how to maximally resolve this external pressure and create a more relaxed development environment for the next round of economic growth? On the one hand, it is natural to argue with arguments and refute all kinds of false “statistical†data. More importantly, China should work with emerging powers such as India, Brazil, and Russia as well as developing countries to firmly defend their right to development on various international and multilateral occasions. On the other hand, it should also be acknowledged that China’s energy-saving and emission-reduction efforts are arduous and urgent from the perspective of a longer timeline based on China’s economic growth. According to the calendar of the National Bureau of Statistics of China, since 2001, China’s energy consumption has jumped from 1.43 billion tons of standard coal to 3.1 billion tons of standard coal, which has more than doubled in just nine years, with an average annual increase of 13%.
From the perspective of the endogenous evolutionary path of China's economic growth and externally available resource constraints, achieving low energy consumption and low carbon growth is an unavoidable strategic choice. In September last year, President Hu Jintao proposed at the UN climate change summit that China's non-fossil energy sources will account for about 15% of total primary energy consumption by 2020; in December of the same year, Premier Wen Jiabao also turned to climate change in Copenhagen. The world has announced that by 2020, China’s CO2 emissions per unit of GDP will fall by 40% to 45% compared to 2005. This fully demonstrates China's efforts and sincerity in global climate change within the scope of its capabilities and responsibilities.
Specific to the tactical level, China can have two options:
First of all, it is of course to vigorously develop new energy industries to replace large amounts of traditional energy sources that produce greenhouse gases. To achieve the "two goals," the National Development and Reform Commission has planned to accumulate an increase of 5 trillion yuan in direct investment during the ten years from 2011 to 2020, and fully expand the emerging energy industry with a focus on smart grid, wind, solar, biomass and nuclear power. New energy vehicles.
However, in a realistic and realistic way, traditional fossil fuels such as oil and coal will continue to shoulder the role of China's major energy sources for a long time to come. New energy sources can only play a complementary role. If there is no huge financial subsidy from the government, or unless the international crude oil and coal prices are unsustainably high for a long time in the future, it is extremely difficult for new energy to increase even a percentage point in the energy consumption structure.
In contrast, for China, limiting high-energy and high-pollution projects and improving the energy efficiency of enterprises is a path that is more urgent and easier to achieve than developing new energy sources. Therefore, while actively developing new energy sources and promoting industrial restructuring, China should also strengthen cooperation with other energy-consuming countries in energy-saving, clean energy, and renewable energy development technologies. For example, in recent years, China and the United States have conducted comprehensive and multi-level energy and environmental technology cooperation through the "S&ED" platform and the "Sino-U.S. Energy and Environment Decade Cooperation Framework" agreements. And achieved a well-deserved achievement.
For China at the moment, advancing technology cooperation with major energy consumers in the energy sector may be even more profound for the world economy and global climate change.
Since July, European and American media, including the Financial Times and the Wall Street Journal of the United States, have cited the latest statistics of the International Energy Agency (IEA), and they have superseded China and replaced the United States as the “world’s number one energy consumerâ€. A topic. Coincidentally, the latest energy report published by British Petroleum (BP) and French energy statistics company (Enerdata) also claimed that China has become the world's largest energy consumer, but the specific data is slightly different from the IEA.
China’s energy authority quickly refuted this and believed that the IEA data overestimated China’s actual energy consumption. The reason is that according to the statistical bulletin issued by the National Bureau of Statistics in February this year, China’s total energy consumption last year was 3.10 billion tons of standard coal, which translates into approximately 2.132 billion tons of oil equivalent, which is slightly lower than the U.S. announced U.S. Energy consumption.
From the above series of tit-for-tat research reports, it is not difficult to see that: First, even different Western energy organizations have differences in the amount of energy consumed between China and the United States. Second, both China and the West are There is no connection between the caliber of energy statistics or the unit of calculation. Third, both the Western research and the Chinese research have actually admitted that the current energy consumption in China and the United States is relatively close.
Of course, the topic of IEA and the US and Europe trying to hype "the first energy consumer country" has different considerations.
From the perspective of IEA, with the rise of China’s economy, China has emerged as a major energy consumer and importer in the world. Therefore, drawing on China to join this energy consumer organization has been the goal of the organization’s efforts in recent years. But the problem is that for many years, the IEA has not been able to persuade China: After joining a club of energy-consuming countries led by developed countries, after releasing key data including crude oil reserves, energy structure, energy storage and production, China can get What kind of benefits? Therefore, China is more willing to maintain a moderate distance and equal cooperation with the IEA and is not in a hurry to join. This IEA throw this controversial statistical report, to a large extent, is implying that China: as soon as possible to join the IEA, the transparency of China's energy data, in order to avoid being outsiders casually announced the inaccurate data.
From the perspective of the United States, pushing China to the "first energy consumer country" can transfer contradictions and greatly reduce its pressure. For a long time, China, India, and other emerging powers have consistently advocated to assume “common but differentiated responsibilities†on emission reduction issues, while developed countries should assume more emission reduction obligations while protecting the rights of developing countries and developing countries. . Among major developed countries, Europe and Japan have made emission reduction commitments earlier, and the pressure actually falls on the United States.
From the perspective of Europe, whether it is the United States or China, as long as the world’s two largest energy consumers have made waves, climate change will become the focus of global attention at the Cancun meeting at the end of this year. While China or the United States may be under greater public pressure, there may be greater concessions.
So, for China, how to maximally resolve this external pressure and create a more relaxed development environment for the next round of economic growth? On the one hand, it is natural to argue with arguments and refute all kinds of false “statistical†data. More importantly, China should work with emerging powers such as India, Brazil, and Russia as well as developing countries to firmly defend their right to development on various international and multilateral occasions. On the other hand, it should also be acknowledged that China’s energy-saving and emission-reduction efforts are arduous and urgent from the perspective of a longer timeline based on China’s economic growth. According to the calendar of the National Bureau of Statistics of China, since 2001, China’s energy consumption has jumped from 1.43 billion tons of standard coal to 3.1 billion tons of standard coal, which has more than doubled in just nine years, with an average annual increase of 13%.
From the perspective of the endogenous evolutionary path of China's economic growth and externally available resource constraints, achieving low energy consumption and low carbon growth is an unavoidable strategic choice. In September last year, President Hu Jintao proposed at the UN climate change summit that China's non-fossil energy sources will account for about 15% of total primary energy consumption by 2020; in December of the same year, Premier Wen Jiabao also turned to climate change in Copenhagen. The world has announced that by 2020, China’s CO2 emissions per unit of GDP will fall by 40% to 45% compared to 2005. This fully demonstrates China's efforts and sincerity in global climate change within the scope of its capabilities and responsibilities.
Specific to the tactical level, China can have two options:
First of all, it is of course to vigorously develop new energy industries to replace large amounts of traditional energy sources that produce greenhouse gases. To achieve the "two goals," the National Development and Reform Commission has planned to accumulate an increase of 5 trillion yuan in direct investment during the ten years from 2011 to 2020, and fully expand the emerging energy industry with a focus on smart grid, wind, solar, biomass and nuclear power. New energy vehicles.
However, in a realistic and realistic way, traditional fossil fuels such as oil and coal will continue to shoulder the role of China's major energy sources for a long time to come. New energy sources can only play a complementary role. If there is no huge financial subsidy from the government, or unless the international crude oil and coal prices are unsustainably high for a long time in the future, it is extremely difficult for new energy to increase even a percentage point in the energy consumption structure.
In contrast, for China, limiting high-energy and high-pollution projects and improving the energy efficiency of enterprises is a path that is more urgent and easier to achieve than developing new energy sources. Therefore, while actively developing new energy sources and promoting industrial restructuring, China should also strengthen cooperation with other energy-consuming countries in energy-saving, clean energy, and renewable energy development technologies. For example, in recent years, China and the United States have conducted comprehensive and multi-level energy and environmental technology cooperation through the "S&ED" platform and the "Sino-U.S. Energy and Environment Decade Cooperation Framework" agreements. And achieved a well-deserved achievement.
For China at the moment, advancing technology cooperation with major energy consumers in the energy sector may be even more profound for the world economy and global climate change.
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